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Market Intel Archives

Market Commentary

March 08, 2013

Futures prices rose in a late day recovery of earlier losses, attributed to an unexpected drop in US unemployment claims and a weakening dollar and better economic news out of Europe strengthened the euro. This morning's weak opening, except for contrarian gasoline, reflects higher than expected North Sea supply (see comment below) and is attributed to investors moving out of weakening commodities in favor of the buoyant equities market.

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Market Commentary

March 07, 2013

Although heating oil powered back to almost unchanged on the day, Wednesday's market settled broadly lower, breaking at least for a while any expectation that the day before’ s strong gains indicated an end to the three-week downtrend. The slide accelerated after the EIA Weekly Report (Inventory Highlights lower right) showed an unexpectedly large build in crude oil stocks, with a sharply stronger dollar helping the declines. Prices are easing slightly again this morning but there is evidence the slide is slowing, even if a new rally doesn't look imminent.

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Market Commentary

March 06, 2013

Brent ended breaking its five-day losing streak Tuesday, up on indications of increasing Chinese demand, North Sea production issues and a record-breaking Wall Street. As noted yesterday, the oversold market was also ripe for a correction, and no doubt profit taking and bargain hunting played a role as well. This morning's mixed to stronger opening sees support coming from the continuing equities strength, highest since the 2008 financial crisis, but if last night's 5.6 million bbl crude oil build is repeated in today's EIA Report (Estimates above), some of that strength could evaporate.

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Market Commentary

March 05, 2013

Oil prices reached a new 2013 low Monday, weighed down by a combination of indications of slowing economic growth in China, uncertainty in the aftermath of the US "sequestration", deteriorating business sentiment in several eurozone countries and finally further evidence of a comfortably supplied petroleum market. This morning's recovery from the five-day losing streak comes on China's new governments vow to deliver strong economic growth.

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Market Commentary

March 04, 2013

Oil prices broadly fell for the third straight day Friday, with the exception of gasoline that bucked the trend. The decline took Brent crude oil to a six-week low near $110 and erased almost all its 2013's gains. Concerns over sluggish economic recovery were blamed, heightened by the implementation of "sequestration", along with an indication that OPEC had unexpectedly increased February crude oil exports. This morning's relatively flat opening sees some recovery from Friday's losses but the otherwise directionless market reflects those same economic concerns, offsetting operational North Sea production issues that are otherwise supporting Brent crude.

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Market Commentary

March 01, 2013

Thursday's market early failure to stage any kind of significant recovery after the prior two day's losses did not suggest a rally was in the cards, and the late losses, except for a pre-expiration spike in gasoline, proved the case. Except for potential pre-weekend short covering today, the market, even after the week's major down moves, continues to look tired, and this morning's new slide appears to confirm it.

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